"The cynic knows the price of everything and the value of nothing" - Oscar Wilde
The point I was trying to make is not to get too hung up on the numbers but try to look past the numbers.
I want to educate by illustrating with some actual examples so it synchs in.
When they originally buillt Christchurch City all the plans to contruct the buildings were conceived in Mother England. They forgot about the sun faces North in the Southern Hemisphere. You might laugh but history does repeat itself. If you ever get to Queentown you will see some apartments facing the wrong way with the dining room and bedrooms hard up against the hill. The toilets / bathrooms are all facing the lake which is completely the wrong way. The architect never bother to travel down and have a look. The story I heard the builder had a grudge and just build it the wrong way facing as stated on the plans without informing the architect of his blunder . You've got to do the legwork and visit properties so you know more than anyone else. You know why it is selling for X amount? You have yo have a feel for the market. Numbers are not going to give you the full picture. If something is selling above market. I want to know why? MAybe they have just put down bamboo flooring in the whole house. Or have increased the room size. Or spent $20,000 on new bath room fixtures. People will be surprise. Get yourself down to a hardware store and figure out the pricing of any metal fixture. Believe me the value is priced in gold. Or maybe they put Italian marble down. You have got to do the groundwork. I can illustrate another example a suburb near an estuary / sewage pond. The smell is unpleasant. Numbers are never going to tell you any of this on paper
My friend from Korea a property / millionaire visits NZ and I show him some potential real estate. He takes one look at the area not the property itself and says "Bad area". HE just stepped off the plane and having never visited NZ tells me this. This lesson took me a while to learn before it sunk it.
Years later I am look at an interesting property the rent checks out everything looks fine on paper. The most interesting thing or the first thing that catches my eye is the property has a security system. I contact a friend who lives in the actual street and he tells me to stay away and don't buy it.
He tells me 'Bad area". Apparently the street address had a high number of burglaries / break ins which explain the security system.
I know someone who bought a really bad house that is falling to bits. The land is worth $900,000 in GV and the house next to nothing. The house is on coastal lake property in Wanaka. The numbers would never stack up but he looked past the house and the numbers. HE bought the property for the site.
The whole are was opened up for subdivision.
I met this property guru. The wisdom that I learnt from him that not only do you analyse the facts but you also look forward. Things change. Look at the big picture not just the micro details. For example one side of the street can be selling far higher in GV than the other. Find out why? Or if it is just anomaly. The reason, it might be in a school zone that families usually pay a premium to get their kids into that school zone. School zones can change nothing is ever static or lasts forever. You might find your side of the street suddenly gets push into that school zone. Sonething could make your area more desirable or undesirable in the future.
I am looking at a property on the West Coast of the South Isaland. Looks great everything appears to stack up including those "Magic Numbers". The day I visited the property was in glorious sunshine. I talk to a local and he tells me to stay away, most of the year it rains and is freezing cold on the West Coast of the South Island and about the sandflies. You can't walk outside without getting bitten. The numbers don't show you any of that.
I am cynical about Real Estate agents, about showing your cards. I have know about a potential sale before the real estate agent. It was on the Market for $325,000 and I didn't like the negative about the property being near powerlines. I contact an agent and say I am looking at properites around $350,000. Lo and behold he shows me the very same property that is now muti listed for would you believe it $350,000. When it was selling for $325,000. Or |I contact an agent who I know is selling a property below $450,000 around $400K that I am interested in. I contact them and they sell the property is gone. How much money have I got to spend $450,000. Nothing on their books for $400K but can show me properties around $450K. You leave your self wide open to getting fleeced.
At the end of the day you should know more than the agent because he or she is on the sale side. You have to know what things sell for and why. You have to do your homework. If an area is shooting up. You should be asking wha is it shooting up in value? There is usually a magnet? I can tell you areas / suburbs where 50 percent are overseas born they are pushing up the market. In my area Asian migrants are keen on education so anything in the University / excellent school commands a premium.They are not local NEw Zealanders. Some migrants try to buy a property and then use this a way in (to buy themselves a NZ passport) to get residency. The property was bought say 3-4 months ago and then goes straight back on the market when they are refused residency.
I can't answer your question. You should do everything in your power to find out as much as you can. Imagine you were presented with this option. Would you buy it? Who is your market? Is there a market? What is the drawcard? Is it an affluent area? Who would want to live there and why?
In Queenstown there is plenty of jobs available but no one can work there because the real estate is so expensive. There are plenty of jobs but no places to rent or houses too expensive. Reason why there are lots of jobs up for grabs.
Many years ago I am looking at a meat company and I visit the company and has state of the art technology. The numbers loook great. It is doing 24 hour processing of meat. I am about to invest and I read a trade journal and the local paper says the company refuses to give the workers a small wage salary increase. That got the alarm bells singing. If the company can't afford to pay a small cost of living increase, something must be wrong. I refuse to invest. This company subsequently went bankrupt. The point I am trying to illustrate here is that now a company that finances the whole town has gone broke. Houses / rental will subsequently collapsed. Wants the incentive to stay if you have lost you job.
I don't want to get into specifics. Registered valuation / tender can tell what the market is willing to pay which can be in a euphoric or doom / gloom state. House can sell above GV or below GV depending what phase you are in the cycle.
I want to say something funny here:-)). When they discovered gold in the New World (America)1600's or whatever and the Spanish weres shipping it back home to Europe. Someone thought it was strange that inflation seem to kick in, with all the gold being flooded in, everything seem to soar in price for food, property etc. IF the NZ government wants to be taken seriously and help the average NEw Zealander buy a home, I say curb the new migrants or curtail the number of new migrants :-)) Prices for property would drop like a rock. It works both ways. NEw Zealanders have a love affair with property. Policitians are not going to spoil the party. :-))
Anything that requires knocking walls or changing the shape of the building requires building consent. It gets duly noted by the council / lodged and rv will reflect. I know owners who plan to live a long time at the property, deliberately want to keep the GV rating down. That is why I quoted the Oscar Wilde. They are not interested in hiking up their GV paying the council hefty rates. You can always disagree with you GV and get a Registered valuation
which I stress does not look at the inside / chattels just the building and surrounding area which can be misleading. Even the councils confess it is not an exact science.